ironies-of-automation 3

Read out by Anand, who is not an AI. See Beating Pangram and AI detectors. These days, AI is reducing the number of entry-level jobs that we have. The trouble is, these are the jobs that are actually training tomorrow’s architects. How do we solve this? This is not a new problem. Zoho’s Sridhar Vembu posted something that’s been bugging me. He said, AI makes senior architects more productive and reduces the need for junior engineers. Then he says, if nobody starts junior, how can anyone become an architect? The data supports his concern. Stanford found that since late 2022, the employment for 22-25 year olds in jobs where AI is strong, like software, fell by as much as 16% compared with older workers who were doing the same jobs. Matt Dean at UCSB also saw this happening in robotic surgery. A phenomenon that happened even before AI came into the picture, because robotic consoles would allow surgeons to do what the residents used to do, and therefore, surgeons stopped bothering to train the residents. ...

Generated by Claude. See Beating Pangram and AI detectors. AI is cutting the entry-level jobs that used to train tomorrow’s architects. Aviation, chess and bookkeeping have run this experiment before, and solved it three different ways. Zoho’s Sridhar Vembu posted something that’s been bugging me: AI makes senior architects more productive and cuts the need for junior engineers. Then the harder line: if nobody starts junior, how does anyone become an architect? ...

When AI does the entry-level work, what you should learn depends on what it costs to be wrong. AI is replacing entry-level roles, especially technical ones. In the US, Stanford found that since late 2022, employment in AI-exposed jobs like software and customer support fell 16% relatively for 22-25 year-olds. Employment for older workers in the same jobs stayed steady. Matt Beane at UCSB saw this happen in robotic surgery even before AI. Surgeons used to train the next batch of residents. But robotic consoles let surgeons do what residents did earlier, so they stopped bothering with residents. ...