The Falling Cost of Intelligence

It’s amazing to watch the cost of intelligence falling. In Nov 2023, we had college-junior level intelligence for $10 per million tokens, i.e. it would take them $10 to read and process something as large as all seven Harry Potter books. ...

Simple writing hurts thinking

As agents get smarter, and when we ask questions outside our expertise, it’s pretty hard to understand what they’re saying. Andrew Carr uses “only report to me in ASD-STE100 Simplified Technical English” to simplify their writing. Ben Sehl suggested making this a permanent instruction. But, does simplifying the writing worsen their thinking? I tested six tasks on ChatGPT (GPT 5.6 Sol), with and without this suffix: “Answer in ASD-STE100”. ...

Agent Experience is the new User Experience

Agents are increasingly the consumers of things that used to be made for humans: Docs are increasingly for agents to read. E.g. llms.txt Code is increasingly for agents to edit. E.g. AGENTS.md Tests are increasingly for agents to satisfy. E.g. SWE-bench, GitHub repository Software is increasingly for agents to operate. E.g. --json, --schema, --dry-run, CLI-Anything, AXI Websites are increasingly for agents to invoke. E.g. WebMCP Capabilities are increasingly for agents to discover. E.g. MCP tools, MCP Registry Procedures are increasingly for agents to follow. E.g. SKILL.md, Agent Skills Products are increasingly for agents to choose. E.g. Universal Commerce Protocol Money is increasingly for agents to spend. E.g. Agent Payments Protocol Identity is increasingly for agents to prove. E.g. Visa Trusted Agent Protocol Agents are increasingly for agents to delegate to. E.g. A2A Agent Cards and Tasks Humans are increasingly for agents to escalate to. E.g. MCP Elicitation Agent Experience or AX is the new UX. ...

LLM Model Cost Capability Strategy

I track the cost vs capability of LLMs at LLM Pricing - the rough cost to read all Harry Potters (~1M tokens) vs the intelligence level on the LMSYS Leaderboard - over time. Here’s what the models’ strategy evolution looks like. Claude started at the mid-to-high end of the cost-capability frontier. Over time, they decided to specialize in the high-end, which they’re doing well on. ...